Artificial intelligence is not only a driver of innovation, but also a significant consumer of energy. To find out how sustainable the use of AI really is, and what the social and environmental costs of this technology are, we asked five experts from the fields of design, architecture and philosophy.
by Oliver Herwig
An almost absurd question: AI and sustainability! But the question is more than relevant. Now that the hype around AI for legal advice, text generation and image production is starting to die down, some distortions are coming to light: AI is far from climate-neutral and probably less social than many people think. Artificial intelligence (AI) drives up energy consumption. Even training large models requires a lot of computing power: GPT-3 used more than 1,000 megawatt hours – the equivalent of about 100 households in a year. Data centres supporting AI applications already consume around 200 terawatt hours per year. And this is rising dramatically. Even old nuclear reactors are being restarted as the use of AI grows around the world. Microsoft, for example, is investing in the infamous Three Mile Island plant and will soon be supplied exclusively by it.
There are also social and economic considerations. How sensible is it to automate more and more tasks, freeing up people to look after their families and live at the heart of society? Will they all be able to take on higher-skilled jobs – and how economically viable is the use of AI anyway? Sustainability is key if we don’t want to gamble away our future. We asked five experts in design, architecture and philosophy: What about the sustainability of ‘energy- and data-hungry simulation machines’? The answers couldn’t be more interesting. The call for regulation comes up surprisingly often.
Making the Invisible Visible
Sven-Anwar Bibi, Designer and Design-Manager
At Futurice, we see AI as an empowerment. An extension of what we can do. It makes the invisible visible. Over the past 25 years, Futurice has grown to almost 850 employees. And this growth created silos, small companies within the organisation. So we started to feed a platform with all the knowledge of our organisation. AI allows me to know more at once. It allows me to go to levels that I could never go to because I didn’t even know they existed. At the end of the day, we designers are increasingly knowledge workers. AI allows us to deal with complexity to create relevant products and access knowledge.
We are even using AI to make code lighter, saving energy and eliminating waste. From a broader perspective, digital transformation always goes hand in hand with sustainability management. We can’t do it if we don’t digitise, automate processes or use technology. With AI, we are currently in the exploration phase, but when it comes to applications, we are looking at where we can eliminate redundant tasks by making processes more efficient and faster, thus reducing costs.
Yesterday I heard a report on the use of AI-powered avatars in special education, allowing non-verbal children to communicate verbally with the world. AI can promote inclusion – and that’s already pretty sustainable.
– Sven-Anwar Bibi, Designer and Design-Manager
This Door Won’t Close Anymore
Laura Kiesewetter, Architect and Researcher
Artificial intelligence opens up a whole range of possibilities for making architecture more sustainable, particularly in the construction industry: optimisation algorithms can help us design buildings more sustainably, improve the amount of light entering them and divide up floor plans more efficiently. In operation, energy consumption can be minimised by integrating AI into the control of building services. When a building is demolished, AI can help categorise and catalogue components, making them easier to reuse.
These possibilities, which currently seem limitless, are offset by the high energy consumption of computationally intensive AI models. Is this too high a price to pay for AI as a tool ? Now that we have a glimpse of the possibilities, the doors can no longer be closed.
We need regulations and guidelines as soon as possible to limit the misuse of this expensive technology and to guide us towards a socially and environmentally sustainable future.
– Laura Kiesewetter, Architect and Researcher
AI Does Not Reduce Complexity
Gordon Gillespie, Philosopher and Mathematician
Nature is not complicated, it is complex. The same is true of our social environment and ourselves. Things only get complicated when we try to make nature, our social environment or ourselves understandable. Intelligence and creativity come into play when it comes to reducing complexity. AI does not reduce complexity, it simulates it. It is precisely because AI is not intelligent, because it does not try to understand the world, that it succeeds in imitating the world so well in some respects. The basis for imitation is data and computing power. The more data and computing power, the more and better the imitation. What is worrying is not the approach of an omniscient superintelligence. What is more worrying is the approach of ever more data- and energy-hungry simulation machines that calculate and imitate more and more aspects of our natural, social and personal world with increasing precision, without understanding them. Therefore, the further development of AI cannot simply be left to developers. Ecological, ethical and social limits can only be imposed from outside. Who knows, perhaps one day, precisely because of these limits, some kind of intelligence will emerge from the neural networks of AI. Are intelligence and creativity linked to carbon compounds? AI will provide no evidence to the contrary if it continues to progress according to the principle of more and more. A different principle is needed if AI is not to remain just a powerful tool with a questionable cost-benefit ratio. The principle must be sustainable – primarily for the sake of sustainability, but also to satisfy our philosophical curiosity: the emergence of an intelligence based on silicon or other inorganic materials would challenge and enrich our self-image in unexpected ways. Let us look forward to it and work towards it!
– Gordon Gillespie, Philosopher and Mathematician
AI in Construction: A Double-Edged Sword for Sustainability
Shermin Sherkat, Architect and Researcher
AI has great potential to transform construction, improve efficiency and promote sustainability. But it is important that AI methods are carefully evaluated.
AI methods that require training data, such as machine learning, are often not reliable for critical construction tasks such as decision-making. These methods typically rely on pattern recognition and statistics rather than logic, leading to errors that are difficult to reproduce. In addition, training requires large amounts of data and significant computing resources, often resulting in high energy and water consumption to cool the computers. Given the reliability requirements and high environmental costs, one might question whether these methods are worth using in construction, where error-free performance is essential.
In contrast, AI techniques such as case-based reasoning (CBR) and optimisation, which rely on logic and algorithms, offer more reliable solutions with significantly lower resource requirements. For example, CBR can be used to plan efficient construction schedules, resulting in less overtime and waste, and optimisation techniques can directly reduce a building’s energy consumption.
– Shermin Sherkat, Architect and Researcher
The Problem Is Not AI Itself
Ana Relvão and Gerhard Kellermann, Designers
AI is very interesting because it will massively change the way we interact with machines. Its mistakes and shortcomings push us to think differently. But at the same time, it doesn’t really understand what it’s doing. So it’s very important to respond in the right way. In general, we are very excited about what is going to happen.
In terms of sustainability, AI is still going to consume a lot of energy. The main problem is figuring out what is sustainable. We need to understand all the interconnections and interdependencies to really know, for example, that one material has a bigger footprint than another. AI could help with those decisions. On the other hand, it’s also about speed. Think about what happened with the Moderna vaccine. That normally takes 10 to 15 years. By testing with AI, it was possible to develop a vaccine in less than a year.
So the problem is not the AI itself. The problem is how we feed the AI, because its speed and its ability to digest data that no human will ever be able to do is very interesting. We are at the very beginning and over time more sustainable ways will emerge in terms of energy. So AI could be very useful in terms of sustainability. AI is perfect for analysing complex production chains. Agents seem to be the next step in AI. They can be very helpful. There is always an evolution: we find something good, we find something bad and we develop something better. We hope that AI can support sustainability, because at the moment it is a very difficult task. We don’t expect miracles. But AI is definitely a useful tool.
– Ana Relvão and Gerhard Kellermann, Designers
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